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Vlad
August 17th, 2006, 09:24 PM
Okey dokey....

http://www.gamesindustry.biz/content_page.php?aid=18973


PS3 set to capture 44 per cent of US market by 2011

Market analyst firm The Yankee Group has forecast a victory for Sony in the next-gen console race, predicting a four per cent lead over Microsoft - with Nintendo's Wii trailing far behind.

The report suggests that Microsoft will have sold approximately 27 million Xbox 360 consoles by 2011, capturing 40 per cent of the US market and narrowly missing the lead. Sony is expected to shift 30 million units of its considerably higher priced PlayStation 3, gaining a marginal victory with 44 per cent of the overall console market in the US.

Analysts at the firm have noticeably less faith in the success of the Nintendo Wii, which is expected to retail for less than US$250 and is taking a markedly different approach to the next-gen race - favouring innovation and gameplay over high processing power and cinematic visuals.

It's predicted that Nintendo will sell just 11 million units over the next five years, securing a rather less impressive 16 per cent of the US market. It should be noted however, that The Yankee Group's analysis contradicts widespread industry opinion on Nintendo's success in the market, as developers, publishers and rival platform holders continue to praise the Japanese firm's market strategy.

According to the report, sales of console hardware is expected to be significantly lower than in the current generation of consoles, primarily due to higher retail pricing and the uncertainty regarding the dominant storage format as the HD DVD versus Blu-ray debate continues.

In addition to its speculative analysis on market dominance, the report suggests that digital distribution and in-game advertising will continue to show rapid growth and much more widespread adoption, thanks to broadband ready, connected gameplay consoles entering the market.

Michael Goodman, senior analyst at the Yankee Group, commented: "With a growing installed base of connected consoles, content owners are beginning to recognize the potential video game consoles offer as a distribution channel. Additionally, these platforms will serve as a strong medium for advertising, validating the growing market for in-game and around game advertising."

Interesting 'prediction'. Wii trailing 'far' behind? Wow. I guess everybody has $600 to burn, and then some...

dimsum411
August 17th, 2006, 11:10 PM
bs

Dark_Swordmaster
August 17th, 2006, 11:18 PM
I know I sure as hell will be helping the Wii and no other. Wii just looks like fun. The others look like a big, clunky boxes that play games that may, or may not entertain me.

Yian
August 17th, 2006, 11:44 PM
2011? They failed to take global warming into account. by 2011, the world will face 60% loss of its fresh water supply, and we will be at the brink of starvation and lack of medical supply. No one will even bother to buy PS3 by 2011.

RogerWilco
August 18th, 2006, 12:56 AM
20 fucking 11? The ps3 will look like garbage compared to PCs by that time provided the retarded masses don't completely suffocate the PC platform with shitty ports of console games. But I digress...

It sounds like they just took the current numbers from the PS2, Xbox, and Gamecube and then applied some magic numbers and BAM an "accurate" prediction of the future. What a load of shit.

Where's futureman when you need him? He'll sort this all out...

farsimon
August 18th, 2006, 01:48 AM
of course, future prediction is a science.

Yian
August 18th, 2006, 02:31 AM
of course, future prediction is a science.
http://img138.imageshack.us/img138/2006/8ballms3.jpg

The Omega
August 18th, 2006, 12:21 PM
I know I sure as hell will be helping the Wii and no other. Wii just looks like fun. The others look like a big, clunky boxes that play games that may, or may not entertain me.

that about says it all for me.

Phobo
August 19th, 2006, 10:43 AM
ps3 wins

Digital Limit
August 20th, 2006, 03:12 PM
ps3 wins

Fanboy!

Nevertheless, here's something you might like: http://media.games.ign.com/articles/693/693580/vids_1.html

It's the PSP... erm, PS3 UI ;)

Vlad
August 20th, 2006, 08:20 PM
PS3 simply can't win overall, unless it drops it's price by 50%. It's coming in much later than the xbox360, it is darn expensive, thus immediately losing out to the wii in that respect, and it just doesn't have the games that people will find hunky dory outside of japan.

Sure, people may want a blu-ray player, but seriously, if people want to buy a 'gaming' console for their kids and for themselves, they will get the wii, after getting an xbox360 simply coz it's cheaper and if they happen to be graphics whores and the wii doesn't satisfy them in that department.